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Indian gold demand remains sluggish over weak monsoon
Highlights
Indian gold demand remained sluggish this week as concerns over a weak monsoon forced farmers, key to the country’s bullion demand, to cut back spending. Indian prices are at a discount of around $1 an ounce to the global benchmark, said traders. Nearly two-thirds of India’s gold demand comes from rural areas where jewellery is a traditional store of wealth for millions who have no access to the formal banking system.
Indian gold demand remained sluggish this week as concerns over a weak monsoon forced farmers, key to the country’s bullion demand, to cut back spending. Indian prices are at a discount of around $1 an ounce to the global benchmark, said traders. Nearly two-thirds of India’s gold demand comes from rural areas where jewellery is a traditional store of wealth for millions who have no access to the formal banking system.
“Demand is quite weak compared to last month,” said Mangesh Devi, a jeweller from the western state of Maharashtra whose customers are mainly sugar cane and vegetable growers. “Farmers are giving priority to buy seeds and fertilisers. Farmers don’t have surplus money to buy gold as last year’s drought has affected their income,” Mr Devi said. Indian farmers usually start sowing summer-sown crops with the arrival of monsoon rains in June.
Policymakers in India are worried about the prospect of a second straight year of drought for the first time in nearly three decades after the country’s weather office forecast below- average rains this summer. Monsoon rains in JuneSeptember are vital for half of India’s farmland that lacks irrigation. “Demand will remain weak in next few weeks unless prices fall below 26,000 rupees (per 10 grams),” said a Mumbai based bank dealer.
A sharp slide in Indian demand could add to pressure on global gold prices. India was the top consumer of the metal in 2014, and the second biggest after China in the first quarter of this year. Demand elsewhere in Asia also remained tepid due to expectations of a further drop in gold prices and better returns from surging equities in China. Premiums on the Shanghai Gold Exchange were about $1-$2 an ounce, little changed from last week. Premiums in Singapore held at around $1 an ounce.
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