‘Modi close to magic figure’

Led by Narendra Modi, the BJP will be the single largest party and is set to get 214 seats in the 16th Lok Sabha, its best showing ever. This is up from the 195 seats is was seen getting in the opinion poll conducted by NDTV in February. The NDA is likely to get 259 seats, just 13 short of the halfway mark of 272 in Lok Sabha. Rahul Gandhi's Congress is likely to end up with 104, its worst ever performance. The United Progressive Alliance (UPA) it leads is likely to get 123 seats - a fall of 108 seats from 2009.

The BJP is seen making major gains in Uttar Pradesh where it looks set to bag 53 of the 80 seats of offer. That's a gain of 43 seats since the last elections.The party is also seen to be carrying the momentum from the assembly polls last year in states like Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. The key to government formation however may lie with two chief ministers - Mamata Banerjee in West Bengal and Jayalalithaa in Tamil Nadu.

Ms Banerjee appears to have lost none of the momentum of her massive victory in the state election in 2011 - she may get as many as 28 of the 42 seats in Bengal. In Tamil Nadu, it's a similar story. Chief Minister Jayalalithaa's AIADMK gets 25 of the state's 39 parliamentary seats, that's 16 more than it got in the last election. Assam provides a rare bright spot for the Congress - it is expected to sweep the state getting 11 of the states 14 seats - that's up 4 from 2009.

According to CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti-The Week national election tracker. The NDA is projected to get 234-246 Lok Sabha seats in the elections while the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is likely to bag just 111-123, according to the projections by Chennai Mathematical Institute Director Rajeeva Karandikar. Congress may get less than 100 Lok Sabha seats for the first time in its history.

According to election tracker the Congress may get 94-106 Lok Sabha seats on its own. The BJP is likely to cross 200 seats mark for the first time in its history by bagging 206-218 Lok Sabha seats on its own. The lowest count for the Congress was 114 seats in 1999 and the highest for the BJP is 182 seats in 1998 and 1999 under the leadership of Atal Bihari Vajpayee. BJP may get 42-50 seats in UP out of 80.

According to election tracker the BJP is making huge gains in the Hindi belt states of UP, Bihar, MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, Jharkhand and its Prime Ministerial nominee Narendra Modi's home state of Gujarat. The BJP is ahead of the AAP in Delhi which has 7 Lok Sabha seats. It is in a close fight with the Congress in Karnataka and slightly ahead in Maharashtra. The BJP is not making any gains in Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, West Bengal, Assam and other Northeastern states. It may get a few seats in Telangana, which will be India's 29th state from June 2, 2014.

The Congress is likely to be decimated in Andhra Pradesh, which delivered the maximum number of seats for the party in both 2004 and 2009. Telangana's creation and YS Jagan Mohan Reddy's revolt seems to have ended the Congress free run in AP. Even in Telangana with 17 seats, the Congress is not doing well. Pro-Telangana party the TRS is likely to do well here. The Congress is likely to be pushed to third place in Odisha. In Maharashtra, it is doing slightly better.